Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
The Arabunna people live in the area around Lake Eyre in Southern Australia. It is a hot, hostile desert region, which is no surprise, because … well … it’s in Australia. Here’s the general area where they live:
A new report from the University of Everybody-Panic is a study of the horrendous future faced by these poor folks:
The first stage of University of Adelaide research released today shows that South Australia’s Arabunna country, which includes Lake Eyre in the far north, is likely to get both drier and hotter in decades to come.
“Temperatures could increase up to four degrees Celsius in Arabunna country in the next century, threatening the survival of many plants and animals,” says the author of the report, Dr John Tibby from the University of Adelaide’s Discipline of Geography, Environment and Population. SOURCE: PhysOrg
Yes, temperatures “could” increase … and I could win the lottery, but I’m not quitting my day job just yet. Meanwhile, back in the real world, what’s been happening in the Lake Eyre region in the last thirty years? Figure 2 shows the satellite-derived temperature trends for the lower troposphere in the area around Lake Eyre, from both the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) and Remote Sensing Services (RSS).
Figure 2. Satellite temperatures for the lower troposphere in the Lake Eyre Region of Southern Australia. Photo shows the approach to Lake Eyre. Temperatures are the average of the region outlined in yellow in Figure 1. All data from KNMI
So … here’s the deal. We have no evidence that the temperatures are rising in the Lake Eyre region. There has been little change in the area temperatures since the satellite records began. Despite that, University of Adelaide professors are selling their fantasies of a terrifying future to the Arabunna, the aboriginal people who live in the area.
Meanwhile, the temperatures in the region are currently lower than they have been in the entire satellite record …
The professors seem to find nothing wrong with scaring the aboriginal people who have lived there for generations. And where do their projections of a 5°C temperature rise originate? Well, as usual, it’s models all the way down, and even the modelers say that their models are useless at the regional level … but despite that, these professors from the University of East Wankerton or wherever it is are more than happy to use these useless models to terrify the local folks.
I find this kind of crying wolf reprehensible, particularly when it is aimed at indigenous people, but hey, that’s just me. (Me too. ed)
Yes, Willis, that is how many academics in Australia deal with indigenous people…
July 1st, 2012 by Warwick Hughes
Both Anthony Watts and Andrew Bolt have drawn attention to the speculative model based study by Dr John Tibby from the University of Adelaide’s Discipline of Geography, Environment and Population – which claims that in the Lake Eyre region – ”Temperatures could increase up to four degrees Celsius in Arabunna country in the next century, threatening the survival of many plants and animals,”.
Both the above blogs posted a graphic of satellite based lower troposphere temperatures showing little change since 1979. I was curious to see what land based thermometers showed over a century – so I increased the grid size to a 10 degree rectangle to include Alice Springs.
As you can see there is not much warming over even a hundred years for the warmists to crow over. I fail to understand why we fund so many warmist groups to produce such unlikely doomster speculations – when there must be many worthier research subjects that Australia needs progressing.
While I was at the KNMI Climate Explorer site I expanded the grid box to include most Australian land – including all our urban heat island affected cities except Darwin.
Not a lot of warming to crow over there since 1880.