Apologies from Tim Blair for the choice of title, but it fits, like a glove. The coldening:
Winter can be sooo cruel…especially for scientists who have long immersed themselves in the pile of manure that CO2 CAGW hysteria represents…good news, though!…NASA and James Hansen have a fallback position…namely, the previous climate hysteria predictions they and the press were pushing on Congress and the public…..
This updated NOAA U.S. temperature map is a stark reminder of the incredibly cold climate that northern and eastern areas of the US have recently experienced. The bitter cold, in particular, impacted those regions east of the Mississippi River, with states butting up against Canada taking the brunt.
It’s also a reminder of those predictions by NASA experts and computer models, as promulgated during 1988 congressional testimony, that accelerated global warming would significantly impact the U.S., with many “experts” then claiming our future was one of warmer winters and no snow.
More to that point is the adjacent chart of US Nov/Dec/Jan temperatures (28 years) and trends since that 1988 testimony. It represents the following 8 states: Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine (all these states are east of the Mississippi and share a border with Canada).
To summarize the chart essentials:
1. Winter temperatures (Nov/Dec/Jan) exhibit a strong variability (the blue columns). Clearly, increasing atmospheric CO2 levels during this period has not caused ever-warmer winters.
2. Many of the winters are below the 1988 average of 27.58°F, including the winters of 2014 and 2015. (see blue dashed line)
3. Despite the very warm winter of 2002, the overall warming trend (orange curves) of winter temperatures has collapsed to a cooling trend of -5.7°F. There is no escaping the obvious NOAA empirical evidence that greenhouse gases are not producing the predicted accelerated warming.
4. The 10-year average winter temperature (the green curve) peaked in 2007 from a low experienced in 1989. Without any doubt, those few very exceptional warm winters (5 of the 28 winter datapoints) have definitely moved the average up. With that said, since 2007 it has declined slightly.
Is the U.S. just a rare anomaly where a cooling winter trend, not warming, is happening? Unfortunately, for the public and CAGW-scientists, regions with cooling trends are becoming more common.
Additional current empirical evidence that CO2 does not cause dangerous “warming” winters:
- February 2015 – Toronto’s coldest month ever
- Record low temperature in Cuba
- Detroit – Coldest February in 140 years
- Record snowfall paralyzes Istanbul
- And now, snow in all 50 states
- More than 1,900 cold records broken in one week – NOAA
- More record lows across southern Ontario
- Spain – The snow has no end
- Denver breaks 103-year-old snowfall record
- Record snowfall in Louisiana
- Heavy snowfall paralyses life in Azerbaijan
- Washington D.C. breaks 120-year cold record
- Record snowfall in Tibet
- Great Lakes “likely to have the most ice since records began,” says meteorologist
- Coldest temps since 1800s in Eastern Half of U.S.
- Heavy snowfall causes road closures in Mexico
- Egypt – Snow coats the streets of Alexandria
- Breaking snow records in Sweden
- Heavy Snow Blankets Jerusalem
- French ski resorts closed – Too much snow
- Southern Norway “drowning in snow”
- Bangladesh – Hospitals packed with patients suffering cold-related diseases
- Fears for Siberia’s wildlife as heavy snowfall reaches depths of one meter
- Heavy snowfall in Saudi Arabia
- Record-shattering snowfall disrupts global warming forum in Boston
- 1,700 Private Jets Fly to Davos, Switzerland to Discuss Global Warming
- Another ‘Little Ice Age’ is on the way, says space scientist
Note: Source of dataset for 8-state winter temperature chart produced by Excel. Using Excel calculated the 8-state winter months average; the 10-year trends and averages that begin with year 1988 on the chart used U.S. winter (Nov/Jan/Dec) temperature data starting with November 1979. The 1988 blue-diamond column on chart represents year of James Hansen global warming testimony.