warmists, believing in fairies…or unicorns

Latham’s puzzle solved

Mark Latham is puzzled:

how has the hard evidence of modern science been so thoroughly undermined that action against global warming is now an unpopular position in Australian politics?

Well, Mark, your first mistake is to conceive of science as monolithic on this topic, when in fact many of the leading sceptics are scientists.

Second, you overlook the fact that the Gillard Government’s proposed “action against global warming” will make not the slightest measurable difference to it, making it all pain for no gain.

Third, and more directly to your question, here are just some reasons the public has grown sceptical of warmists:


Tim Flannery, ABC radio’s Landline, February 11, 2007:

WE’RE already seeing the initial impacts and they include a decline in the winter rainfall zone across southern Australia, which is clearly an impact of climate change.

The Sydney Morning Herald, August 30, 2009, Bureau of Meteorology climatologist Bertrand Timbal:

IN the minds of a lot of people, the rainfall we had in the 1950s, 60s and 70s was a benchmark. But we are just not going to have that sort of good rain again as long as the system is warming up.

David Jones, head of climate analysis at the BOM, the SMH, October 6, 2008:

A NOTABLE feature of this drought is the long series of failed autumn rains . . . the chances are that we will not see a return to the wet autumns that were once commonplace . . . This drought is now far beyond our historical experience. It is very difficult to make a case that this is just simply a run of bad luck driven by a natural cycle and that a return to more normal rainfall is inevitable, as some would hope.

Another reason:

“Perth is facing the possibility of a catastrophic failure of the city’s water supply,” says Tim Flannery, director of the South Australian Museum and Australia’s most high-profile scientist and ecologist…

Climate change is working against Sydney. “There’s only two years’ water supply in Warragamba Dam,” says Flannery, “ … If the computer models are right then drought conditions will become permanent in eastern Australia.”…

“Water is going to be in short supply across the eastern states,” says Flannery… The water restrictions now in force in Sydney are never going to be lifted, except after a run of freak conditions, just as Warragamba Dam is never again going to be full unless there is a freak period of high rainfall unlikely to be sustained.

Meanwhile:

WATER is spilling from the Warragamba dam for the second time in two months

Another reason, from Four Corners in 2008:

 

MARIAN WILKINSON: If you want to see climate change happening before your eyes, scientists will tell you, go to the ends of the earth, and that is why we are here in the Arctic Circle…

DR TED SCAMBOS, NATIONAL SNOW AND ICE DATA CENTER USA: …There’s a group that makes a very strong case that in 2012 or 13 we’ll have an ice-free Arctic, as soon as that.

In fact:

image

Another reason:

Whitehouse points out that climate simulations, like those carried out at the Hadley Climate Research Unit, indeed show periods of stagnation lasting up to a decade. In the models they occur about every 80 years. However, none of the simulations up to now have shown a pause of 15 years. Also the models that run on the super-computers of the Hamburg Climate Research Centre also show such plateau phases.

“The physical causes are still unclear, and our simulations show them occurring at other times. Thus the models are not consistent with the current observations,” admits Jochem Marotzke, Director of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg.

The mystery, Mark, is not that the public doubts the warmist scientists. The mystery is that smart people like you don’t. 

Andrew Bolt April 20 2012 (9:33am)

Global warming – dud predictions

About Tom Harley

Amateur ecologist and horticulturalist and CEO of Kimberley Environmental Horticulture Inc. (Tom Harley) Kimberley Environmental Horticulture Incorporated Kimberley Environmental Horticulture (KEH) is a small group of committed individuals who promote the use of indigenous plants for the landscaping of parks and gardens. Rehabilitation of Kimberley coast, bushland and pastoral regions are also high on our agenda. This includes planting seedlings, weed control, damage from erosion or any other environmental matter that comes to our attention. We come from all walks of life, from Professionals and Trades oriented occupations, Pensioners and Students, Public Servants and the Unemployed. We have a community plant nursery where we trial many old and new species, with a view to incorporating these into our landscaping trials. Our labour force are mainly volunteers, but with considerable help from the 'work for the dole' program, Indigenous Community Development Employment Program (CDEP) groups and the Ministry of Justice, with their community work orders; in this way we manage to train many people in the horticultural skills needed for indigenous plant growing. We constantly undertake field trips that cover seed and plant collection in the Kimberley. Networking around the Kimberley region and the east Pilbara is a necessary part of promoting our activities. We consult on a range of Environmental and Landscaping matters that deal with our region. Our activities involve improving Broome's residential streetscapes by including 'waterwise' priciples in planting out nature strips. Sustainable environmental horticulture is practised by members of our group. We use existing vegetation as the backbone of any plantings, using these species to advantage when planning to develop tree forms or orchards. The Broome region is sensitive to development. Subsequently many weed species have become dominant in and around developed areas. The use and movement of heavy machinery is the biggest single cause of environmental degradation. We dont live in a 'Tropical Paradise' but on the edge of the Great Sandy Desert. The plants that survive best here, grow in well-drained pindan sand, and are found from the Dampier Peninsular southward to where average rainfall is below 600mm. When we use rainforest species, detail is important when planting, water catchment, sunlight and understorey species are all considered. The use of recycled 'grey' water is an advantage here as well as treated waste-water, although many local species do not fare well with nutrients from this source. We use waterwise planting methods which include harvesting asmuch rainwater as possible, with swales designed to hold up to 200 litres, to help recharge the local groundwater aquifer. There has been a serious decline in this aquifer over the last few years. With the fast expansion of the Broome peninsular, more and more land is being covered by concrete, iron and bitumen so that much less water is available to replenish the aquifer, allowing the salt content to become significantly higher. The small Broome Peninsular is on the south-western corner of the Dampier Peninsular (bound by Broome, Derby and Cape Leveque at the northern tip). Compaction by vehicles also inhibits water retention due to the content of our local pindan sand, hard as concrete in the dry, going to soft and sloppy mud after rain. None of us are botanists, inevitably we have got some names wrong, names changed, or have not gone to sub-species level. If you note a photo or description may be wrong, please e-mail to kimenvhort@yahoo.com.au
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One Response to warmists, believing in fairies…or unicorns

  1. Pingback: Lunatics have escaped the Asylum… | pindanpost

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